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FTSE 100 Track Record

IC  "ShareMaestro is a system with a great track record of correctly
   valuing the FTSE100 and its constituent shares"

 

Buy/Sell signals


Since the start of the FTSE 100 in 1984, every ShareMaestro Buy signal has delivered a profit on the subsequent sell signal, taking into account reinvested dividends. Furthermore, the cumulative capital gain (on £100) for periods when ShareMaestro has signalled investment in the FTSE 100 has been £360. This is 90 times the cumulative capital gain for periods when ShareMaestro signalled disinvestment from the FTSE 100 (just £4).


PERIODS WHEN SHAREMAESTRO SIGNALLED INVESTMENT IN THE FTSE100



Buy date


FTSE 100 price



Sell date


FTSE 100 price


% Capital Gain

Years invested
Cumulative capital growth on £100 base
            100
26/06/85 1236.5 21/11/85 1443.1 + 16.7 0.41 117
28/10/87 1658.4 11/07/89 2250.9 + 35.8 1.70 158
09/04/90 2227.7 24/12/93 3412.3 + 53.2 3.71 243
07/03/95 2977.0 12/10/95 3523.8 + 18.4 0.60 287
11/07/02 4230.0 23/01/07 6227.6 + 47.2 4.54 423
16/08/07 5859.9 05/10/07 6595.8 +12.6 0.14 476
19/11/07 6120.8 14/01/16 5918.3 -3.3 8.16 460
        Total 19.3  
Cumulative capital gain (460 less 100) 360

 


PERIODS WHEN SHAREMAESTRO SIGNALLED AVOIDING THE FTSE100



Sell date


FTSE 100 price
Buy date FTSE 100 price % Capital Gain(loss) Years invested Cumulative capital growth on £100 base
            100
21/11/85 1443.1 28/10/87 1658.4 + 14.9 1.93 115
11/07/89 2250.9 09/04/90 2227.7 (-1.0) 0.75 114
24/12/93 3412.3 07/03/95 2977.0 (-12.8) 1.20 99
12/10/95 3523.8 11/07/02 4230.0 + 20.0 6.75 119
23/01/07 6227.6 16/08/07 5859.9 (- 5.9) .56 112
05/10/07 6595.8 19/11/07 6120.8 (- 7.2) .12 104
        Total 11.3  
Cumulative capital gain (104 less 100) 4
Ratio of gains to losses (360/4) 90


These outstanding results have been achieved using ShareMaestro's FTSE 100 valuations, together with the standard 105%/95% buy/sell spread.

ShareMaestro FTSE 100 valuations for key dates


ShareMaestro correctly identified the true values of the FTSE100 at the peak and trough prices of the FTSE 100 the market this century:

At the end of 1999 the FTSE 100 was driven by greed and by dot.com fever up to  
6930. The ShareMaestro valuation was just 3942.

In the next three and a quarter years the FTSE 100 duly crashed. The index lost more
than half its value to less than 3300. By this stage the ShareMaestro valuation was
4957. Whilst greed has driven the FTSE100 to unsustainable heights, the subsequent
fear, which took over when the bubble burst, drove the index too low. 

Over the next few years the FTSE 100 soared, as predicted by ShareMaestro, and
exceeded the trough valuation within 2 years.

When the FTSE 100 price was 4096.4 on 28th April 2009, the ShareMaestro valuation showed the real value of the FTSE 100 to be 5104.6, 25% more than the market price. This valuation was published in the Investors Chronicle masterclass on Accelerated Trackers (June 2009). The FTSE 100 price subsequently soared to meet the ShareMaestro valuation in less than 5 months (an annualised gain of more than 60%).

These ShareMaestro valuations can be viewed by clicking on this link: ShareMaestro Valuations.

Crash Protection


Since 1984 there have been 5 FTSE 100 crashes of more than 25%. At each of these 
peaks, the ShareMaestro valuation gave a sell signal before the subsequent crash.
See Crash Protection.

Fund Management


Two ShareMaestro FTSE 100 strategies have significantly outperformed the market over the last 10 years. One has achieved a far higher return than any other fund in its sector. See Investment Returns.

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